Wandering China

An East/West pulse of China's fourth rise from down under.

Does China have a stealth drone? [Foreign Policy] #RisingChina #Stealth #Hardpower

Rising China, achieving symmetrical hard power and information fidelity.

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Does China have a stealth drone?
Posted By John Reed
Source – Foreign Policy, published Friday, May 10, 2013

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While Iran’s got a somewhat less than “Epic” new propeller-powered UAV, China might be jumping on the stealth drone bandwagon sooner than you thought.

Extremely blurry photos posted on Internet forums over the past few months may show a Chinese stealth UAV, supposedly called the Lijan or Sharp Sword, along the lines of the U.S. Navy’s X-47B.

Until now, we’ve seen photos of Chinese-made versions of propeller-driven drones that strongly resemble their American counterparts like the MQ-9 Reaper.

Please click here to read the full article at Foreign Policy.
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Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Chinese Model, Foreign Policy Blogs, Government & Policy, Hard Power, Ideology, Influence, International Relations, Mapping Feelings, military, Modernisation, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Public Diplomacy, Reform, Strategy, Technology, The Chinese Identity, U.S.

Tiger Talk: North Korea – war or peace? 一虎一席谈: 朝鲜半岛 战争还是和平 [Phoenix Television 凤凰网 / Youtube] #RisingChina #NorthKorea #TVCurrentAffairs

A dynamic current affairs programe on Phoenix TV features panelists with competing views of analysis  in discourse over the threat of North Korea on April 27, 2013.

In Mandarin with Chinese subtitles. Running time: 48 minutes.

Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Culture, Hard Power, Influence, International Relations, Media, military, New Leadership, North Korea, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Social, The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, Youtube

Senior PLA naval officer pledges ‘bigger and better’ aircraft carriers [SCMP] #RisingChina #BlueWaterStrategy

Destination: unavoidable – blue-water navy.

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Senior PLA naval officer pledges ‘bigger and better’ aircraft carriers
Senior PLA naval officer says it is hoped next vessel will be bigger than Liaoning, but denies reports carriers are being built in Shanghai
By Minnie Chan
Source – South China Morning Post, published Thursday, 25 April, 2013

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A senior naval officer says China will have more aircraft carriers and they will probably be bigger and more powerful than its first carrier, the Liaoning, which was commissioned in September.

“China will have more than one aircraft carrier,” Rear Admiral Song Xue , deputy chief of staff of the People’s Liberation Army Navy, told foreign military attaches at a ceremony to celebrate the 64th anniversary of the navy’s founding on Tuesday, Xinhua reported.

“We hope the next aircraft carrier can be bigger, because then it would be able to carry more aircraft and be more powerful,” he added. Without giving details, he said that some foreign media reports about China building new aircraft carriers in Shanghai were not accurate, Xinhua reported.

Please click here to read the full article at its source.

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Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Chinese Model, Domestic Growth, Economics, Government & Policy, Greater China, Hard Power, Ideology, Influence, International Relations, Mapping Feelings, military, Modernisation, Nationalism, Peaceful Development, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Reform, Strategy, Tao Guang Yang Hui (韬光养晦)

All the toys, but can China fight? [Western Australia Today] #RisingChina #HardPower #Corruption

An Australian perspective on Xi readying military for battle. The fight may be an ideological one, but the outward display of toys is a primal one: they matter at the negotiation table.

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All the toys, but can China fight?
China’s Xi Jinping has warned his corruption-riddled military to clean up its act and be ready for battle.
John Garnaut, Beijing
Source – Western Australia Today, published April 27, 2013

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Chinese naval soldiers wait in line. Photo: AFP

Every morning at 6am, more than two dozen of the world’s leading submarine watchers, aviation experts, government specialists, imagery analysts, cryptanalysts and linguists gather at the headquarters of the US Pacific Fleet in Hawaii. Their job is to probe the overnight intelligence reports to guide the activities and strategies of the six aircraft carrier groups, 180 ships and 1500 aircraft that constantly patrol the Pacific and Indian oceans.

The morning meetings are convened by the fleet’s top intelligence officer, Captain James Fanell, and are supposed to cover activities emanating anywhere ”from Hollywood to Bollywood”, as the head of US Pacific Command, Admiral Samuel Locklear, likes to put it. But the group never takes long before zeroing in on the country driving the military and diplomatic ”pivot” to Asia, which was announced by President Barack Obama in Canberra in November 2011 and which now has support from almost every maritime nation in east and south-east Asia.

”Every day it’s about China; it’s about a China who’s at the centre of virtually every activity and dispute in the maritime domain in the east Asian region,” said Fanell, reading from prepared remarks at a US Naval Institute conference in San Diego on January 31.

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Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Charm Offensive, Chinese Model, Hard Power, Influence, International Relations, Mapping Feelings, military, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Reform, Soft Power, Strategy, Tao Guang Yang Hui (韬光养晦), The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, U.S., Xi Jinping

Beijing’s Paranoid Worldview [Wall Street Journal] #RisingChina #DefenseWhitePaper

Clarity gleaned from a defense white paper?

Nowhere is the gulf between reality and Beijing’s aggrieved worldview more apparent than in the white paper’s discussion of the U.S. The report claims that U.S. President Barack Obama’s so-called “pivot” to Asia “makes the situation tenser,” by “enhancing military deployment and also strengthen[ing] alliances.” In Chinese eyes, the U.S. pivot is not responding to nearly two decades of double-digit Chinese defense budget increases and Beijing’s aggressive security stance. Instead, Washington is finding a new bogeyman for a post-Iraq, post-Afghanistan world.

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Beijing’s Paranoid Worldview
By Michael Auslin
Source – Wall Street Journal, published April 18, 2013

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Source – Zuma Press
A Chinese missile destroyer fires during a joint naval exercise in March.

When Beijing released its defense white paper on Tuesday, official Chinese media hailed the document as a milestone in government transparency. The report, the first of its kind since 2011, is certainly clarifying—but not just because of its dry recitation of China’s defense activities and structure.

Written by the Ministry of Defense, the white paper is China’s equivalent of the U.S. National Defense Strategy, spelling out security priorities and giving basic information about China’s military programs. Aimed primarily at a foreign audience, this year’s report included for the first time personnel figures for China’s main armed forces. The total headcount of 1.4 million, while formidable, was below what international organizations have calculated. This is possibly because paramilitary and police forces, which often act as a national guard, were excluded from the count.

Nevertheless, outsiders can safely view the white paper as about the clearest public statement available of Beijing’s strategic worldview. And what a worrying statement it is. The white paper’s excoriation of the U.S. and Japan, as well as its unapologetic promise to protect territorial claims by “all necessary measures,” should convince U.S. leaders that President Xi Jinping will do little to improve relations between Beijing and Washington. A larger, more powerful and more influential China still sees itself at odds with the world.

Please click here to read the article at its source.

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Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Chinese Model, Communications, Government & Policy, Hard Power, Influence, International Relations, Media, military, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Soft Power, Strategy, Tao Guang Yang Hui (韬光养晦), Territorial Disputes, The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, U.S., Wall Street Journal

China ‘reveals army structure’ in defence white paper [BBC] #RisingChina #HardPower

Access the white paper here – The Diversified Employment of China’s Armed Forces by the Information Office of the State Council (April 16, 2013)

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China ‘reveals army structure’ in defence white paper
Source – BBC, published April 16, 2013

China's increased military spend has worried many of its neighbours. Source - Reuters

China’s increased military spend has worried many of its neighbours. Source – Reuters

China has revealed the structure of its military units, in what state-run media describe as a first.

The army has a total of 850,000 officers, while the navy and air force have a strength of 235,000 and 398,000, China said in its defence white paper.

The paper also criticised the US’s expanded military presence in the Asia Pacific, saying it had exacerbated regional tensions.

China’s defence budget rose by 11.2% in 2012, exceeding $100bn (£65bn).

The defence white paper, which state media describe as China’s 8th since 1998, emphasised China’s “unshakable national commitment… to take the road of peaceful development”.

Please click here to read the article at its source.

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Filed under: BBC, Beijing Consensus, Charm Offensive, Communications, Government & Policy, Hard Power, Ideology, Influence, International Relations, Mapping Feelings, Media, military, Modernisation, Nationalism, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Reform, Strategy, Tao Guang Yang Hui (韬光养晦), Territorial Disputes, The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, U.S.

China battle plan raises nuclear fear [The Age] #RisingChina #AirSeaBattle

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute reckons the oft-misunderstood US AirSea Battle doctrine/strategy adds fuel to the spark of miscalculation – especially when applied with its Asian pivot against China.

”AirSea Battle thus raises the spectre of a series of miscalculations on both sides if Beijing perceives conventional attacks on its homeland as an attempt to disarm its nuclear strike capability, in which case it might be faced with a classical ‘use them or lose them dilemma’.”

Some AirSea Battle perspectives:

The goal is to ensure all forces can get to the fight
Air-Sea Battle: Clearing the Fog (Armed Forces Journal, May 2012)

… popular consensus says ASB is the Pentagon’s plan to counter China; Most recently, the Washington Post made the assumption in his Thursday page one story on ASB… The heads of the Navy and Air Force swear this isn’t true. But they’ve had trouble making this case — in large part, because they’ve been so awful at explaining ASB to the public.
Pentagon’s ‘Air-Sea Battle’ Plan Explained. Finally.
Wired, August 2012

Also, to find out more about the genesis and operations of AirSea Battle, Andrew Marshall go to –
U.S. model for a future war fans tensions with China and inside Pentagon (Washington Post, August 2012)

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China battle plan raises nuclear fear
By David Wroe
Source – The Age, published April 15, 2013

A US military strategy being mapped out to deal with the growing power of China in the western Pacific – a plan that would inevitably ensnare Australia – could escalate into a nuclear war, experts warn.

In a new paper the Australian Strategic Policy Institute says the fashionable ”AirSea Battle” concept – which Washington strategists are developing to keep the US grip on its sea and air power near the Chinese mainland – contains ”uncertainties and potential shortfalls” that could heighten the nuclear risk.

The paper, written by the institute’s senior analyst for defence strategy, Benjamin Schreer, urges the Australian government to keep a cautious distance from the plan for now. Australia would probably play a role in the strategy, particularly with US Marines in Darwin.

The AirSea Battle plan assumes any conflict between the US and China – most likely over Taiwan or Chinese skirmishing with Japan – would remain below the level of nuclear strikes.

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Filed under: Australia, Charm Offensive, Government & Policy, Hard Power, International Relations, Mapping Feelings, military, Modernisation, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Politics, Strategy, The Age, The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, U.S.

US dominance in multipolar world order remains unrealistic delusion [Global Times] #MultiPolarWorld #US

The Global Times publishes an Op Ed by Clifford Kiracofe, Jr., an instructor in history at the Virginia Military Institute. It argues that the US indulgence in strategic narcissism in its foreign policy needs a reality update.

Unfortunately, most US politicians and strategists cling to an unrealistic vision of US hegemony. They engage in strategic narcissism and argue that the US must maintain hegemony, which they call “global leadership,” into the coming decades. (Kiracofe, 2013)

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US dominance in multipolar world order remains unrealistic delusion
OP-ED
By Clifford Kiracofe
Source – Global Times, published April 10, 2013

Will the US remain “No.1” as a multipolar world emerges over the next several decades? Proponents of US hegemony say yes, but the future may not be so clear-cut for Americans. China, for example, will move ahead of the US economically in the medium term.

Today, the US faces profound economic and social challenges. The unnecessary Iraq and Afghan wars stole some $5 trillion from the US future to 2020 and caused present massive budget deficits.

US infrastructure is falling to pieces and needs significant update. Education below the university level is in serious crisis signaling grave long-term issues. Adverse income distribution is sharpening.

Please click here to read the rest of the article at its source.

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Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Charm Offensive, Culture, Government & Policy, Hard Power, Ideology, Mapping Feelings, Media, military, Modernisation, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Resources, Soft Power, Strategy, Tao Guang Yang Hui (韬光养晦), The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, U.S.

Cartoon – Chinese Base in Australia to defend against American Imperialism #SinoAustralianRelations #Cartoon [The Age]

… contemplating Australia’s twenty-first century dilemma – choreographing between two great powers.

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Ron Tandberg
Source – The Age, published April 9, 2013

Source - CARTOON OF THE DAY by Ron Tandberg (The Age, 2013)

Source – CARTOON OF THE DAY by Ron Tandberg (The Age, 2013)

Further reading:
Tasmania visit for Chinese leader on the cards soon? (Mercury News)  Apparently in Xi Jinping’s former political roles he had a chance to visit every Australian state save for Tasmania.

Filed under: Australia, Beijing Consensus, Communications, Economics, Government & Policy, Hard Power, History, Influence, International Relations, Mapping Feelings, Media, New Leadership, Peaceful Development, Politics, Resources, Soft Power, Strategy, The Age, The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, Trade, U.S.

Is Kim Jong Un in control? [CNN GPS] #ChinaNorthKoreaUS

Combined the US and China could put a quick end to this latest run of gun blazing in the Korean Peninsula. The longer these world leaders dally divided, the more room for North Korea to miscalculate.

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Is Kim Jong Un in control?
By Jason Miks
Source – CNN GPS, 5 April, 2013

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South Korean media has reported today that two medium-range missiles have been loaded onto mobile launchers along North Korea’s east coast, and that they are ready to be launched. The report comes at the end of another tense weak on the Korean Peninsula that has seen an announcement by the U.S. that it is sending missile defenses to Guam and a North Korean statement that its army has final approval for nuclear strikes against the United States.

In a Situation Room special, CNN’s Wolf Blitzer spoke with Fareed Zakaria to get his take on North Korea’s rhetoric, how serious the latest threats are, and China’s potential role in easing tensions.

Is it time to send some sort of diplomatic envoy to Pyongyang on behalf of the president of the United States?

Well, the Bush administration actually did try diplomacy. They signed two agreements with the North Koreans. Plenty of people did. The problem is that they cheat on them. They’ve cheated on every one of these.

There’s only one country with whom diplomacy would work with North Korea, and that’s China. The Chinese make up by some estimates 50 percent of North Korea’s food, and about 80 percent of its fuel. There are people in China who literally opened the taps and allowed North Korea to survive.
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Filed under: Beijing Consensus, Charm Offensive, CNN, Communications, Foreign aid, Government & Policy, Hard Power, Influence, International Relations, Media, military, New Leadership, North Korea, Peaceful Development, Politics, Public Diplomacy, Soft Power, Tao Guang Yang Hui (韬光养晦), The Chinese Identity, The construction of Chinese and Non-Chinese identities, U.S.

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